CSS Group @ The Alan Turing Institute

Project description

Climate variability is widely impacting natural and human systems. One of the many impacts is its potential threat to human security. The role of climate variability as a possible cause of violent conflict has been coming to the forefront of public and scientific debates. In this so-called Climate Security Nexus, climate variability acts as a multidirectional threat multiplier, aggravating existing vulnerabilities of people and communities.

In this project, we collaborate with CGIAR Focus Climate Security to devise a quantitative framework to develop a Climate Security Index (CSI), for measuring and monitoring climate security vulnerability. Primarily meant for long-term planning and decision making for resilience building, it incorporates a broad range of drivers of the Climate Security Nexus, including those from climatic, conflict, socioeconomic, agricultural, and contextual (i.e., mitigating factors, adaptive capacity) dimensions, to indicate climate-security risks at subnational level. Emphasizing the role of water, land and food systems, a systemic approach, based on innovative modelling tools is envisioned, to account for the underlying relationships within the Climate Security Nexus.

People

• Daniele Guariso
• Omar A. Guerrero

Publications

• Liebig, T., Guariso, D., Craparo, A., Basel, A., Madurga, Lopez I., Pacillo, G., Laderach, P. & Guerrero, O.A. (2022). The Climate Security Index – A Methodological Note. CGIAR Focus Climate Security. Paper

Resources

Online repository (upcoming)